Chennai, Apr 14: The cyclonic circulation over Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining Andaman Sea continues to get more organised. According to Skymet Weather, with this pace, the system is likely to intensify into a low pressure area during the next 24 hours over the same area.
Mahesh Palawat, Chief Meteorologist, Skymet Weather said, As the sea surface temperatures are warmer, situation is conducive for further strengthening. Therefore, it is most likely to develop into a well-marked low pressure area in another 24-48 hours.
In wake of this, the cyclonic circulation is likely to give fairly widespread rain and thundershowers over Andaman and Nicobar Islands during the next 2-3 days. Isolated spells of heavy to very heavy falls are also likely over few places.
Though the system is too far to have any impact weather over Indian mainland but Coastal Tamil Nadu may see partly cloudy sky. However, chances of rains are very remote but isolated thundery activity cannot be ruled out. As weather models are suggesting, the system would initially track north-northwestwards. There is high probability of formation of a depression by April 17. Thereafter, as it will continue to venture in deep sea, there is a possibility of this tropical system to intensify into a cyclone.
However, we should wait and watch its further development. Sometimes due to high vertical wind shear and cooler sea surface temperatures, the intensification process of the storm can be hampered. But it is too early to predict these probabilities.
Courtesy: skymetweather.com
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